The US-Canada Trade War

President Trump has announced new tariffs:

  • 25% on all Canadian imports, closing the loophole on imports valued at less than $800, with a lower 10% rate for energy, i.e., oil & gas
  • 25% on all Mexican imports
  • 10% on all Chinese imports, on top of the targeted tariffs Trump introduced in his first term (and which President Biden first retained and then expanded)

These tariffs are much larger than the tariffs Trump imposed during his first term. Those tariffs were targeted – they affected specific industries Trump was hoping to reshore. This is a broad-spectrum approach. It’s a strategy you use to force another state to make concessions in other policy areas. What is Trump trying to do? And will he succeed?

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Are Declassed Professionals in the United States like Surplus Song Dynasty Civil Servants?

I’ve been reading Youngmin Kim’s A History of Chinese Political Thought. In one of his chapters, he argues that during the Southern Song Dynasty (1127-1279), a peculiar kind of “metaphysical republicanism” took root. As the Chinese population increased, the Song state struggled to create enough jobs in the state bureaucracy to accommodate larger and larger numbers of educated young men. Unable to pursue political power through the conventional pathways, these young men invented a new kind of political theory to make sense of their positions (or lack thereof). Kim’s description of this theory is eerily reminiscent of the kind of thinking that has become increasingly popular among what I like to call the “fallen” professionals–people with university degrees who have been unable to secure stable, prestigious positions within the power structure.

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